ESPN FPI projections for every game on Nebraska's schedule – 247Sports

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Nebraska football is facing a make-or-break year on the field in 2022, and the Huskers will have a bit of a more favorable schedule this season to navigate. 
In ESPN’s latest update of its Football Power Index, the Huskers will face the country’s 51st most difficult schedule. That is a result of seeing highly ranked opponents at home, and the fact that Ohio State is — finally — off Nebraska’s schedule for this year. Just three of Nebraska’s opponents — Oklahoma, Michigan and Wisconsin are ranked in the Top 25 of ESPN’s preseason FPI rankings. 
ESPN defines FPI as “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”
Nebraska went 3-9 last season, and this year, the FPI rankings predict Nebraska to finish between 7-5 and 8-4 on the season with a 31 percent chance of winning the Big Ten West. 
Here’s how the metric predicts every game for Nebraska this season as fall camps get rolling across the country. 
 
Win probability: 78.7%
Opponent FPI rank: 81
Previous meeting: Nebraska 56-7 (2021)
Series history: Nebraska 9-6
Win probability: 98.4%
Opponent FPI rank: N/A
Previous meeting: Nebraska 33-0 (1961)
Series history: Nebraska 1-0
Win probability: 92.0%
Opponent FPI rank: 103
Previous meeting: First Meeting
Series history: 0-0
Win probability: 39.5%
Opponent FPI rank: 8
Previous meeting: Oklahoma 23-16 (2021)
Series history: Oklahoma 46-38-3
Win probability: 84.0%
Opponent FPI rank: 68
Previous meeting: Indiana 38-31 (2019)
Series history: Indiana 10-8-3
Win probability: 72.4
Opponent FPI rank: 82
Previous meeting: Nebraska 28-20 (2020)
Series history: Nebraska 5-0
Win probability: 48.7%
Opponent FPI rank: 41
Previous meeting: Purdue 28-23 (2021)
Series history: 5-5
Win probability: 83.5%
Opponent FPI rank: 75
Previous meeting: Illinois 30-22 (2021)
Series history: Nebraska 13-5-1
Win probability: 63.9%
Opponent FPI rank: 40
Previous meeting: Minnesota 30-23 (2021)
Series history: Minnesota 35-25-2
Win probability: 20%
Opponent FPI rank: 6
Previous meeting: Michigan 32-29 (2021)
Series history: Michigan 6-4-1
Win probability: 51.2%
Opponent FPI rank: 21
Previous meeting: Wisconsin 35-28 (2021)
Series history: Wisconsin 11-4
Win probability: 46.5%
Opponent FPI rank: 37
Previous meeting: Iowa 28-21 (2021)
Series history: Nebraska 29-20-3
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